Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avellino U19 vs Bari U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Stoyanov S.
90' Event
D'Auria R.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Avellino U19 and Bari U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Avellino U19
30%
Draws
47%
Bari U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari U19 haven't matched Avellino U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bari U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Avellino U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino U19 Bari U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Bari U19
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Avellino U19
0:0
May 10, 2025 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Avellino U19
2:1
Dec 13, 2024 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Bari U19
1:0
Feb 24, 2018 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Bari U19
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Auria R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoyanov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino U19 28 / 100
Bari U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino U19 Bari U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Avellino U19's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Avellino U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avellino U19 VS Bari U19
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino U19

(Home)
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
02 May
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Palermo U19
25 Apr
Monopoli U19
0 : 0
Avellino U19
18 Apr
Avellino U19
1 : 1
Bari U19
Page 1 of 6

Bari U19

(Away)
29 Aug
Bari U19
1 : 0
Padova U19
09 May
Benevento U19
2 : 1
Bari U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Avellino U19
1 : 1
Bari U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)