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Avellino vs Arezzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Iaccarino G.
12'
Sub
Fila D. In: Favilli A.
Out: Fila D.
15' Event
Russo R.
Assist: Palumbo M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Avellino and Arezzo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Avellino
35%
Draws
25%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Avellino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Avellino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Avellino Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Arezzo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Arezzo
1:2
Mar 18, 2006 Serie B
Avellino vs Arezzo
0:2
Oct 25, 2005 Serie B
Arezzo vs Avellino
3:1
Feb 5, 2000 Lega Pro C1/B
Arezzo vs Avellino
0:0
Oct 2, 1999 Lega Pro C1/B
Avellino vs Arezzo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ionita A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 95 / 100
Arezzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avellino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Arezzo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Avellino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Arezzo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
01 Nov
Avellino
2 : 0
Pisa
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
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Arezzo

(Away)
01 Nov
Arezzo
0 : 0
Ascoli
28 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Arezzo
24 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 3
Benevento
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)