Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avellino vs Arezzo

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Iaccarino G.
12'
Sub
Fila D. In: Favilli A.
Out: Fila D.
15' Event
Russo R.
Assist: Palumbo M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Avellino and Arezzo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Avellino
15%
Draws
59%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arezzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Arezzo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arezzo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Avellino Clean Sheet 16%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Arezzo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 2.14 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Arezzo
1:2
Mar 18, 2006 Serie B
Avellino vs Arezzo
0:2
Oct 25, 2005 Serie B
Arezzo vs Avellino
3:1
Feb 5, 2000 Lega Pro C1/B
Arezzo vs Avellino
0:0
Oct 2, 1999 Lega Pro C1/B
Avellino vs Arezzo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ionita A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 23 / 100
Arezzo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arezzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Arezzo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Avellino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Arezzo
5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Monza
3 : 0
Avellino
08 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Torino
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Real Forio 2014
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Arezzo

(Away)
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0
Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Modena 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Cesena 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Ascoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Pisa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Padova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Sampdoria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Palermo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Verona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
15 Avellino 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Entella 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Juve Stabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 -2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)