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Avellino vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avellino host Mantova in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Avellino at 2.31 goals for, 1.34 against; Mantova at 1.93 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Avellino slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Mantova. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Avellino
30%
Draws
33%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mantova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Avellino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Avellino Clean Sheet 17%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Mantova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.31 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Avellino
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Serie B
Avellino vs Mantova
0:0
Mar 9, 2009 Serie B
Avellino vs Mantova
1:1
Oct 12, 2008 Serie B
Mantova vs Avellino
1:1
Feb 2, 2008 Serie B
Mantova vs Avellino
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 66 / 100
Mantova 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avellino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avellino scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Mantova let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Avellino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Mantova
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
01 Nov
Avellino
2 : 0
Pisa
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

Mantova

(Away)
31 Oct
Modena
1 : 1
Mantova
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Entella
0 : 1
Mantova
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)