Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Avellino host Mantova in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Avellino at 2.31 goals for, 1.34 against; Mantova at 1.93 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Avellino slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Mantova. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mantova carry the better recent record into this one.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Avellino taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avellino | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Avellino scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Mantova let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Avellino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Avellino
(Home)Mantova
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Verona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:22 | 6 |