Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avellino vs Modena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Pyyhtia N.
44' Event
Bagheria F.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Gliozzi E. In: Defrel G.
Out: Gliozzi E.

AI Match Summary

Avellino in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avellino
6%
Draws
4%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avellino lately — more wins on the board than Modena.
  • Win probability leans Avellino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Avellino Clean Sheet 20%
Modena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Modena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 4.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Avellino
1:1
Jan 23, 2016 Serie B
Modena vs Avellino
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
2:0
Apr 2, 2015 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 85 / 100
Modena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avellino scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Modena has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Avellino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Modena
4.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Real Forio 2014
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5
Avellino
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0
Castel di Sangro
12 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Avellino
Page 1 of 6

Modena

(Away)
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
08 May
Avellino
1 : 0
Modena
01 May
Modena
2 : 1
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)