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Avellino vs Modena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Pyyhtia N.
44' Event
Bagheria F.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Gliozzi E. In: Defrel G.
Out: Gliozzi E.

AI Match Summary

Avellino in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Avellino
20%
Draws
47%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avellino lately — more wins on the board than Modena.
  • Win probability leans Modena's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Avellino Clean Sheet 17%
Modena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Modena
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie B
Modena vs Avellino
0:1
May 8, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Avellino
1:1
Jan 23, 2016 Serie B
Modena vs Avellino
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 Serie B
Avellino vs Modena
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 28 / 100
Modena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avellino scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Modena has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Avellino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Modena
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

Modena

(Away)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)