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Avellino vs Pisa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Di Maggio L.
46'
Sub
Primasso A. In: Bozhinov R.
Out: Primasso A.
46'
Sub
Zanon S. In: Marras T.
Out: Zanon S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Avellino and Pisa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Avellino
35%
Draws
32%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avellino come out ahead of Pisa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Avellino have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Avellino Clean Sheet 68%
Pisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Pisa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.31 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Pisa
2:0
Apr 17, 2017 Serie B
Pisa vs Avellino
0:1
Nov 19, 2016 Serie B
Avellino vs Pisa
1:0
May 12, 2013 Lega Pro C1/B
Avellino vs Pisa
2:3
Dec 21, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Pisa vs Avellino
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Maggio L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pisa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 41 / 100
Pisa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avellino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pisa let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Avellino found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Avellino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Pisa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
01 Nov
Avellino
2 : 0
Pisa
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

Pisa

(Away)
01 Nov
Avellino
2 : 0
Pisa
28 Oct
Pisa
3 : 3
Palermo
25 Oct
Verona
1 : 1
Pisa
17 Oct
Pisa
3 : 1
Cremonese
10 Oct
Vicenza
0 : 3
Pisa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)