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Avellino vs Sampdoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avellino host Sampdoria in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Avellino at 2.13 goals for, 1.45 against; Sampdoria at 0.9 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Sampdoria slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Sampdoria. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Avellino
20%
Draws
29%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Avellino have won more games recently than Sampdoria.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Avellino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Avellino Clean Sheet 68%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Sampdoria
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Avellino
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Sampdoria
2:1
Mar 20, 1988 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Avellino
2:0
Nov 8, 1987 Serie A
Avellino vs Sampdoria
1:2
Apr 26, 1987 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Avellino
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 77 / 100
Sampdoria 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avellino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sampdoria has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Avellino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Sampdoria
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 7

Sampdoria

(Away)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)