Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avellino vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Besaggio M.
Assist: Favilli A.
16' Event
Russo R.
Assist: Favilli A.
30'
Moncini G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Avellino and Vicenza finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Avellino
30%
Draws
29%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Vicenza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vicenza a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Avellino Clean Sheet 11%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Vicenza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.17 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Vicenza
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Avellino
2:1
May 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Avellino vs Vicenza
0:0
Feb 25, 2017 Serie B
Avellino vs Vicenza
3:1
Sep 24, 2016 Serie B
Vicenza vs Avellino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Besaggio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Vicenza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 22 / 100
Vicenza 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vicenza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vicenza has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Avellino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Vicenza
5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
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Vicenza

(Away)
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)