Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avenida vs Gremio

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Eucaliptos, Santa Cruz do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Amuzu F.
Assist: Tiaguinho
49' Event
Wagner Leonardo
Assist: Roger
54' Event
Roger
Assist: Cristaldo F.

AI Match Summary

Gremio in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Avenida
35%
Draws
35%
Gremio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio lately — more wins on the board than Avenida.
  • Win probability leans Avenida's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gremio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Avenida Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avenida Gremio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 14 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gaucho
Avenida vs Gremio
0:4
Feb 3, 2024 Gaucho
Avenida vs Gremio
0:1
Feb 12, 2023 Gaucho
Gremio vs Avenida
2:0
Feb 10, 2019 Gaucho
Gremio vs Avenida
6:0
Mar 29, 2018 Gaucho
Gremio vs Avenida
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avenida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Amuzu F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wagner Leonardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenida 41 / 100
Gremio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avenida Gremio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avenida has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Avenida scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Gremio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gremio
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenida

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
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Gremio

(Away)
08 Aug
Gremio
2 : 1
Sao Paulo
05 Aug
Gremio
1 : 0
Mirassol
02 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1
Gremio
30 Jul
Gremio
0 : 1
Bolivar
26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1
Fluminense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 EC Juventude 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 2 3 1 4:3 9
4 Sao Luiz 6 1 4 1 6:10 7
5 Avenida 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
6 Guarany de Bage 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
3 Ypiranga FC 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Novo Hamburgo 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
5 Monsoon 6 1 3 2 5:11 6
6 Inter Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 1:4 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)