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Avenida vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Eucaliptos, Santa Cruz do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sub
Yuri Bigode In: Hiago Cena
Out: Yuri Bigode
44'
Tinga
45'
Vinicius Garcia

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between Avenida and Monsoon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Avenida
35%
Draws
24%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avenida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Avenida haven't matched Monsoon's recent run of results.
  • Avenida are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avenida Monsoon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 14 13
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.87 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Gaucho
Avenida vs Monsoon
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avenida Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Monsoon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenida 68 / 100
Monsoon 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avenida Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avenida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Avenida stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Monsoon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Avenida VS Monsoon
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenida

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
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Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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