Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avenida vs Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2025
Avenida Logo

Avenida

4 - 1
FT
Pelotas Logo

Pelotas

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Cesinha
38' Event
Caique Calito
38'
Sub
Matheus M. In: Bustamante H.
Out: Matheus M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2025 game between Avenida and Pelotas finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avenida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Avenida
35%
Draws
38%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pelotas come out ahead of Avenida on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avenida Pelotas
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 14 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Gaucho
Avenida vs Pelotas
4:1
Feb 23, 2025 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Avenida
2:2
Jan 30, 2025 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Avenida
1:0
Jun 5, 2022 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Avenida
1:0
Apr 20, 2022 Gaucho 2
Avenida vs Pelotas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avenida Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Calito
2 Goals
Assists Leader JP Bardales
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Xandy
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenida 41 / 100
Pelotas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avenida Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avenida went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Pelotas conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Avenida scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avenida VS Pelotas
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenida

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

Pelotas

(Away)
09 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 1
GE Bage
05 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 0
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
02 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Pelotas
23 Nov
Pelotas
0 : 2
Aimore
20 Nov
Aimore
1 : 2
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avenida 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
2 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
3 Pelotas 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
4 Brasil de Pelotas 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Relegation - Gaucho 2 (Main)