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Aves U19 vs Nacional U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020
Sat, May 2, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aves U19 host Nacional U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Aves U19 have averaged 1.26 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Nacional U19's 1.13 scored and 1.22 conceded. Head-to-head, Aves U19 have won 2 to Nacional U19's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.36, favoring Aves U19. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Aves U19
35%
Draws
41%
Nacional U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nacional U19 have won more games recently than Aves U19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aves U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Nacional U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aves U19 Nacional U19
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 14
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Aves U19 vs Nacional U19
0:0
Mar 1, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Aves U19
1:1
Dec 14, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Aves U19 vs Nacional U19
1:0
Sep 14, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Aves U19
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aves U19 32 / 100
Nacional U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aves U19 Nacional U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aves U19 scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Nacional U19 let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Aves U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional U19
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aves U19

(Home)
08 Mar
Aves U19
1 : 2
Gil Vicente U19
01 Mar
Nacional U19
1 : 1
Aves U19
22 Feb
Aves U19
2 : 0
Leixoes U19
01 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2 : 1
Aves U19
25 Jan
Aves U19
0 : 4
Pacos Ferreira U19
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Nacional U19

(Away)
27 May
Nacional U19
2 : 2
Academica U19
20 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 1
Nacional U19
13 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 0
Nacional U19
06 May
Nacional U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
29 Apr
Casa Pia U19
3 : 3
Nacional U19
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