Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga de Honra 2005/2006 Estádio do CD das Aves

FC Marco

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aves play FC Marco in the Liga de Honra 2005/2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aves averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. FC Marco averaged 1 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Aves won 3, FC Marco won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2006 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Aves and 1.05 for FC Marco. This points to a Aves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Aves

15%

Draws

32%

FC Marco

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Aves picked up more points recently compared to FC Marco.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Aves Clean Sheet 22%

FC Marco Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aves	FC Marco
Matches Played	14	31
Wins	5	6
Draws	1	6
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	0.71	1
Goals Conceded	1.64	2.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2006 Liga Portugal 2

Aves vs FC Marco

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Dec 21, 2005 Liga Portugal 2

FC Marco vs Aves

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Apr 24, 2005 Liga Portugal 2

Aves vs FC Marco

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

4:2

Dec 5, 2004 Liga Portugal 2

FC Marco vs Aves

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Mar 21, 2004 Liga Portugal 2

Aves vs FC Marco

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aves 52 / 100

FC Marco 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aves FC Marco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aves Win (1)

Secondary Pick Aves & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aves attacking → ← attacking FC Marco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aves scored in 43% of their last 14 games.

FC Marco let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Aves went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Marco lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 24

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Beira Mar	34	18	14	2	45:18	68
2	Aves	34	18	10	6	47:30	64
3	Leixoes	34	17	11	6	47:19	62
4	Olhanense	34	13	13	8	41:28	52
5	Varzim	34	13	13	8	47:39	52
6	Gondomar	34	14	9	11	56:41	51
7	Santa Clara	34	13	12	9	45:32	51
8	Chaves	34	13	11	10	40:36	50
9	Estoril	34	11	12	11	44:43	45
10	Feirense	34	12	8	14	44:44	44
11	Vizela	34	11	11	12	42:48	44
12	Portimonense	34	10	13	11	36:36	43
13	Moreirense	34	11	9	14	36:37	42
14	Covilha	34	10	12	12	37:42	42
15	FC Barreirense	34	8	11	15	31:41	35
16	FC Marco	34	7	8	19	32:63	29
17	UD Ovarense	34	6	7	21	36:72	25
18	FC Maia Lidador	34	6	6	22	30:67	24