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Avezzano vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Allessi
23' Event
Biaggi F.
53' Event
Allessi

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Avezzano
20%
Draws
29%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Avezzano have won more games recently than Termoli.
  • Avezzano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 68%
Termoli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avezzano Termoli
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 16
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.3 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Termoli
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Avezzano
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Termoli
0:0
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Avezzano
1:0
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Avezzano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avezzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Allessi
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Biaggi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Della Pietra V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avezzano 95 / 100
Termoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avezzano Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avezzano's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Termoli has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Avezzano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Termoli
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avezzano

(Home)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
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Termoli

(Away)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)