Sport Picks
Avia Swidnik vs Biala Podlaska
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Zuber M.
33'
33'
Kopytov D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Avia Swidnik lately — more wins on the board than Biala Podlaska.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 68%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avia Swidnik | Biala Podlaska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Biala Podlaska
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Avia Swidnik
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Biala Podlaska
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Avia Swidnik
2:2
Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Biala Podlaska
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avia Swidnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Zuber M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Biala Podlaska Compare
Top Goalscorer Kopytov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avia Swidnik 41 / 100
Biala Podlaska 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avia Swidnik Biala Podlaska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Avia Swidnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avia Swidnik found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Biala Podlaska conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Away concern: Biala Podlaska has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Avia Swidnik VS Biala Podlaska
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Avia Swidnik
(Home) 18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0 Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
22 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 4 Zawisza
09 Aug
Avia Swidnik
3 : 0 Sandecja Nowy S.
Page 1 of 3
Biala Podlaska
(Away) 26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
15 Aug
Czarni Polaniec
0 : 2 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
