Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avia Swidnik vs Cracovia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Orzechowski K.
47' Event
Remenyuk A.
88' Event
Pigiel M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Avia Swidnik and Cracovia II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avia Swidnik
6%
Draws
4%
Cracovia II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avia Swidnik come out ahead of Cracovia II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avia Swidnik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Avia Swidnik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 68%
Cracovia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avia Swidnik Cracovia II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 2.38 2
Goals Conceded 1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Cracovia II
4:0
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Avia Swidnik
4:5
May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Cracovia II
2:2
Oct 2, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Avia Swidnik
2:3
Apr 16, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Avia Swidnik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Remenyuk A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Orzechowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Cracovia II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 95 / 100
Cracovia II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avia Swidnik Cracovia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avia Swidnik scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cracovia II conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Avia Swidnik remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avia Swidnik VS Cracovia II
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Avia Swidnik

(Home)
26 Jul
Avia Swidnik
4 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4
Avia Swidnik
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3
Avia Swidnik
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Cracovia II

(Away)
18 Jul
Cracovia II
1 : 3
Z. Moravce-Vrable
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6
Cracovia II
23 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
17 May
Cracovia II
3 : 3
Chelmianka Chelm
13 May
Wisla II
3 : 1
Cracovia II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)