Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avia Swidnik vs Czarni Polaniec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Pigiel M.
22' Event
Remenyuk A.
29' Event
Ortiz J.

AI Match Summary

Avia Swidnik host Czarni Polaniec in the III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Avia Swidnik at 2.38 goals for, 0.88 against; Czarni Polaniec at 1.75 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Avia Swidnik slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back Avia Swidnik to edge this. Avia Swidnik in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avia Swidnik
6%
Draws
4%
Czarni Polaniec
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avia Swidnik has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Czarni Polaniec.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Avia Swidnik.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 18%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avia Swidnik Czarni Polaniec
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Avia Swidnik
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Czarni Polaniec
5:3
May 3, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Czarni Polaniec
3:3
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Avia Swidnik
4:3
Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Avia Swidnik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Pigiel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Remenyuk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 85 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avia Swidnik Czarni Polaniec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avia Swidnik scored in 100% of their last 29 games.

Czarni Polaniec let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Avia Swidnik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Czarni Polaniec lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avia Swidnik VS Czarni Polaniec
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013