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Stadium Background

Avia Swidnik vs Ol. Grudziadz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Michalski S.
Assist: Olejarka D.
21' Event
Remenyuk A.
50'
Michalski S.

AI Match Summary

Avia Swidnik in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Avia Swidnik
30%
Draws
47%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ol. Grudziadz average 2.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Avia Swidnik's 1.96.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Avia Swidnik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 10%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avia Swidnik Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.96 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Division 2
Avia Swidnik vs Ol. Grudziadz
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Remenyuk A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jodlowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Michalski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 34 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avia Swidnik Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avia Swidnik scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ol. Grudziadz let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Avia Swidnik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avia Swidnik VS Ol. Grudziadz
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avia Swidnik

(Home)
10 Oct
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0
Swit Szczecin
03 Oct
R. Rzeszow
1 : 1
Avia Swidnik
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 6

Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)