Sport Picks
Avia Swidnik vs Stal Krasnik Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Pigiel M.
15'
15'
Kalinowski W.
AI Match Summary
Avia Swidnik in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avia Swidnik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stal Krasnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stal Krasnik haven't matched Avia Swidnik's recent run of results.
- Stal Krasnik are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 11%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avia Swidnik | Stal Krasnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Stal Krasnik
2:0
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Avia Swidnik
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Avia Swidnik vs Stal Krasnik
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Avia Swidnik vs Stal Krasnik
2:1
May 29, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Avia Swidnik
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avia Swidnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Pigiel M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kalinowski W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Stal Krasnik Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avia Swidnik 14 / 100
Stal Krasnik 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avia Swidnik Stal Krasnik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stal Krasnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avia Swidnik found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Stal Krasnik has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Avia Swidnik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Avia Swidnik VS Stal Krasnik
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Avia Swidnik
(Home) 18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0 Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3 Zielona Gora
22 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 4 Zawisza
09 Aug
Avia Swidnik
3 : 0 Sandecja Nowy S.
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Stal Krasnik
(Away) 30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
25 Apr
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
11 Apr
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 0 Stal Krasnik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
