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Avia Swidnik vs Zielona Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Kumorek M.
15'
Bargiel P.
51' Event
Zuber M.
Assist: Assuncao D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Avia Swidnik and Zielona Gora finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Avia Swidnik
20%
Draws
44%
Zielona Gora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zielona Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Zielona Gora haven't matched Avia Swidnik's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Avia Swidnik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 13%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avia Swidnik Zielona Gora
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 2
Avia Swidnik vs Zielona Gora
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuber M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Bargiel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szmigiel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avia Swidnik 48 / 100
Zielona Gora 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avia Swidnik Zielona Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avia Swidnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avia Swidnik's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Zielona Gora let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Avia Swidnik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avia Swidnik VS Zielona Gora
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avia Swidnik

(Home)
10 Oct
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0
Swit Szczecin
03 Oct
R. Rzeszow
1 : 1
Avia Swidnik
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 6

Zielona Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)