Sport Picks
Aviles Stadium vs CD Mosconia
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Heres D.
84'
84'
Jimenez B.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Aviles Stadium and CD Mosconia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aviles Stadium.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Mosconia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- CD Mosconia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives CD Mosconia a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 18%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aviles Stadium | CD Mosconia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.48 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs CD Mosconia
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Aviles Stadium
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs CD Mosconia
1:3
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Aviles Stadium
3:1
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs CD Mosconia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aviles Stadium Compare
Top Goalscorer Heres D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jimenez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
CD Mosconia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aviles Stadium 28 / 100
CD Mosconia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aviles Stadium CD Mosconia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
CD Mosconia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Aviles Stadium scored in 31% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: CD Mosconia conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Aviles Stadium VS CD Mosconia
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aviles Stadium
(Home) 06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Aviles Stadium
27 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0 Gijon Industrial
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanera
11 Aug
Club Siero
1 : 0 Aviles Stadium
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2 Llanera
Page 1 of 6
27 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0 Gijon Industrial
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanera
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2 Llanera
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanes
12 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0 L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 3
CD Mosconia
(Away) 06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5 CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4 Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2 Real Aviles
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1 CD Mosconia
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5 CD Mosconia
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1 CD Mosconia
10 May
Navarro
3 : 1 CD Mosconia
25 Apr
Praviano
1 : 0 CD Mosconia
12 Apr
EI San Martin
0 : 1 CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
