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Aviles Stadium vs EI San Martin Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Aviles Stadium and EI San Martin finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aviles Stadium
30%
Draws
39%
EI San Martin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aviles Stadium haven't matched EI San Martin's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 68%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aviles Stadium EI San Martin
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.52 1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs EI San Martin
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Aviles Stadium
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Aviles Stadium
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs EI San Martin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aviles Stadium 42 / 100
EI San Martin 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aviles Stadium EI San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EI San Martin conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Aviles Stadium scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aviles Stadium remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aviles Stadium VS EI San Martin
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aviles Stadium

(Home)
27 Sept
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Gijon B
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
13 Sept
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 7

EI San Martin

(Away)
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)