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Aviles Stadium vs Langreo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aviles Stadium host Langreo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Langreo have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Aviles Stadium have conceded 1.1 and scored 0.53. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.19 - 1.63) back Langreo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aviles Stadium
20%
Draws
58%
Langreo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Langreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Langreo come out ahead of Aviles Stadium on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Langreo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 14%
Langreo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aviles Stadium Langreo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.53 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aviles Stadium 27 / 100
Langreo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aviles Stadium Langreo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Langreo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Langreo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Aviles Stadium scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Aviles Stadium stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Langreo has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aviles Stadium VS Langreo
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aviles Stadium

(Home)
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Gijon B
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
13 Sept
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
Page 1 of 6

Langreo

(Away)
10 Oct
Langreo
0 : 1
Lealtad
04 Oct
Gijon B
1 : 1
Langreo
27 Sept
Langreo
3 : 2
Praviano
20 Sept
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Langreo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)