Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Calvo P.
82'
82'
Jimenez B.
86'
86'
Gonzalez D.
AI Match Summary
Llanera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llanera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llanera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Aviles Stadium haven't matched Llanera's recent run of results.
- Model gives Llanera a 74% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Llanera have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 15%
Llanera Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aviles Stadium | Llanera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 28 |
| Draws | 14 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Llanera
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Aviles Stadium
3:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Llanera
0:2
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Aviles Stadium
4:0
Apr 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Aviles Stadium
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aviles Stadium Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Llanera Compare
Top Goalscorer Calvo P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aviles Stadium 10 / 100
Llanera 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aviles Stadium Llanera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llanera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Aviles Stadium scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.
Llanera has conceded goals in 31% of their last 32 outings.
Aviles Stadium went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aviles Stadium VS Llanera
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aviles Stadium
(Home) 14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanera
11 Aug
Club Siero
1 : 0 Aviles Stadium
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2 Llanera
03 May
Real Titanico
2 : 2 Aviles Stadium
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanes
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanera
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2 Llanera
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanes
12 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0 L Entregu CF
29 Mar
Aviles Stadium
2 : 0 CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 3
Llanera
(Away) 18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2 Llanera
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanera
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0 Lealtad
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2 Llanera
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0 Tuilla
Page 1 of 7
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2 Llanera
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1 Llanera
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2 Llanera
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1 Llanera
02 Apr
L Entregu CF
0 : 1 Llanera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
