Sport Picks
Match Events
88'
88'
Derrien M.
AI Match Summary
Red Star in this Coupe de France 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Red Star
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Red Star lately — more wins on the board than Avion.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Red Star taking it.
- Red Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Red Star, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Avion Clean Sheet 21%
Red Star Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avion | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 8, 2018 Coupe de France
Avion vs Red Star
0:1
Apr 2, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Red Star vs Avion
0:1
Oct 23, 2010 National 1 - Group A
Avion vs Red Star
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avion Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Red Star Compare
Top Goalscorer Derrien M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avion 20 / 100
Red Star 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avion Red Star
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Red Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Red Star conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Avion scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Avion has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Red Star
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Avion
(Home) 16 Nov
Avion
0 : 2 Torcy
08 Dec
Avion
0 : 1 Red Star
18 Nov
Avion
2 : 1 Epernay
13 Nov
Le Portel
3 : 0 Avion
18 Nov
Avion
1 : 2 Meaux
Page 1 of 6
16 Nov
Avion
0 : 2 Torcy
08 Dec
Avion
0 : 1 Red Star
18 Nov
Avion
2 : 1 Epernay
18 Nov
Avion
1 : 2 Meaux
02 Jun
Avion
0 : 0 Poissy
Page 1 of 4
Red Star
(Away) 14 Aug
Red Star
0 : 0 Sochaux
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1 Red Star
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1 Red Star
28 Jul
UNFP
1 : 4 Red Star
25 Jul
Le Havre
2 : 1 Red Star
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1 Red Star
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1 Red Star
28 Jul
UNFP
1 : 4 Red Star
25 Jul
Le Havre
2 : 1 Red Star
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0 Red Star
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charitoise 2
Carrieres Gresillons 1
FCA Troyes 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 3
Dunkerque 1
Vieux-Habitants 0
Thaon 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 1
Annecy 0
Heillecourt 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Entente Crest-Aouste 2
Montelimar 0
De Volvic 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 2
Vignoc Hede Guipel 0
Chapelle 0
Avranches 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 2
Le Mans 1
Marck 0
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 1
Lorient 0
Etoile Matoury 2
Concarneau 3
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auch 0
Olympique de Valence 0
Beaucairois 3
Lege Capferret 6
Tartas St. Yaguen 4
Riom 0
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
Montlucon 0
Auxerre 0
Angouleme CFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 3
Avenir Lozere 2
Epernay 1
Avion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 2
Caennaise 0
Morteau Montlebon 0
Paray 1
Sainte-Genevieve 4
Sainte-Suzanne 0
Stade Poitevin 0
Aiglon Lamentin 1
Niort 2
Chauray 0
Chatellerault 0
Challans 2
Vertou 2
Bellevue Nantes 0
La Brede 0
Bergerac 8
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Toulon 0
Beziers 1
Canet Roussillon 2
St Quentin 5
Wasquehal 3
Saint-Amand 0
Prix les Mezieres 2
CMS Oissel 5
Bourny Laval 1
Sarreguemines 1
Metz 2
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Illkirch 3
Saint Avold 0
Haguenau 3
Sochaux 4
Limonest 4
Feillens 0
Vimy 0
Creteil 2
Rodez 5
Luzenac 2
St Orens 1
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 1
US Matoury 0
Compiegne 0
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 3
Escaudoeuvres 1
Biars-Bretenoux 2
Aurillac 3
Brest 4
Vilaine Atlantique 1
Football Avenir de Theix 0
Vannes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 4
Cherbourg 1
Plouvorn 0
Pontivy 1
Grenoble 3
Beaune 0
Chassieu Decines 1
Hyeres 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 2
Chauvigny 0
Cholet 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Besancon FC 1
Jeanne d'Arc 0
Chataigneraie 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 3
ASC Hazebrouck 1
Chambly 0
Neslois 1
Chamalieres 2
Melun 0
Limoges 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 1
Paris FC 0
Olympique Marcquois 0
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
JA Drancy 0
Bourg Peronnas 0
Raon L Etape 1
Clermont 3
Gueugnon 1
Magenta 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Salinieres 0
Marignane GCB 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Epinal 4
Golden Lion 2
Reipertswiller 1
Olympique Strasbourg 4
Schiltigheim 1
Avize-Grauves 0
Rossfeld 0
Biesheim 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 1
Saint Lo Manche 0
Guipavas 0
Montagnarde 1
Lannion FC 3
Stella Maris Douarnenez 0
Blois Foot 41 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 2
Mondeville 0
Gamaches 1
Le Havre 7
Andrezieux 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Val Lyonnais 1
Annecy-le-Vieux 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 3
Sainte-Rose 1
Montceau 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 2
Football Club Nogent 0
AS Dragon 0
Versailles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 4
Mtsapere 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 3
Fontenay 2
Genets 1
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
1/64-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
Charitoise 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 6
Thaon 3
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 2
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Entente Crest-Aouste 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Avranches 0
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 3
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 0
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 2
Beaucairois 0
Lege Capferret 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 4
Angouleme CFC 2
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 1
Avion 0
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 4
Paray 0
Sainte-Genevieve 2
Aiglon Lamentin 3
Niort 1
Challans 0
Vertou 1
Bergerac 3
Monaco -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Canet Roussillon 4
St Quentin 4
Prix les Mezieres 3
CMS Oissel 0
Metz 1
Lille -
TBD -
Illkirch 0
Sochaux 1
Limonest 2
Creteil 1
Rodez 0
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 3
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 0
Aurillac 1
Brest 3
Vannes 2
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 1
Pontivy 2
Grenoble 2
Hyeres 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 6
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Besancon FC 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 1
Neslois 0
Chamalieres 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 3
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 2
Raon L Etape 3
Clermont 2
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 0
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne -
TBD -
Epinal 0
Olympique Strasbourg 1
Schiltigheim 2
Biesheim 1
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 2
Montagnarde 0
Lannion FC 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 1
Le Havre 5
Andrezieux 3
Annecy-le-Vieux 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 4
Versailles 2
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 1
Sedan 0
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 4
Pau 0
TBD -
Nantes -
1/32-finals
Lyon 2
Bourges 0
Valenciennes 0
Amiens SC 1
Nancy 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Stade Pontivyen 2
Guingamp 4
Bastia 3
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Angers 0
Red Star 0
Caen 1
Orleans 3
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Niort 1
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Canet Roussillon 0
St Quentin 1
Metz 2
Lille 1
Sochaux 0
Limonest 0
Sete 1
Saint-Pryve 3
Aurillac 1
Brest 2
Rennes 3
PSG 4
Pontivy 0
Grenoble 0
Strasbourg 1
Les Herbiers 2
Tours 1
Gravelines 0
Villefranche 3
IC Croix 2
Raon L Etape 0
Clermont 1
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne 6
Olympique Strasbourg 0
Schiltigheim 1
Dijon 3
Vitre 1
Longueau 0
Bordeaux 0
Le Havre 1
Andrezieux 2
Marseille 0
Nimes 0
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Toulouse 4
Nice 1
Lens 0
Reims 2
Sannois 1
Montpellier 0
Chateauroux 1
Nantes 4
1/16-finals
Lyon 2
Amiens SC 0
Nancy 1
Guingamp 2
Bastia 2
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 0
Caen 6
Orleans 3
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Metz 3
Lille 1
Sete 0
Saint-Pryve 0
Rennes 2
PSG 2
Strasbourg 0
Les Herbiers 0
Villefranche 2
IC Croix 1
Marignane GCB 0
St Etienne 3
Dijon 6
Vitre 3
Le Havre 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 5
Reims 4
Sannois 0
Nantes 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Guingamp 1
Bastia 2
Caen 3
Orleans 1
Metz 0
Lille 1
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Villefranche 0
IC Croix 0
Dijon 3
Vitre 3
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 0
Nantes 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 3
Caen 1
Orleans 0
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Dijon 0
Vitre 0
Nantes 2
Semi-finals
Lyon 2
Rennes 3
PSG 3
Nantes 0
Final
Rennes 3
PSG 2
