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Avion vs Senart-Moissy

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CFA - Group A 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CFA - Group A 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Avion
20%
Draws
32%
Senart-Moissy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Avion have won more games recently than Senart-Moissy.
  • Model gives Avion a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Avion Clean Sheet 20%
Senart-Moissy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avion Senart-Moissy
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Avion vs Senart-Moissy
0:0
Oct 8, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Avion
0:2
May 14, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Avion
2:1
Jan 15, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Avion vs Senart-Moissy
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avion 36 / 100
Senart-Moissy 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avion Senart-Moissy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senart-Moissy has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Senart-Moissy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Avion scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avion VS Senart-Moissy
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avion

(Home)
16 Nov
Avion
0 : 2
Torcy
08 Dec
Avion
0 : 1
Red Star
18 Nov
Avion
2 : 1
Epernay
13 Nov
Le Portel
3 : 0
Avion
18 Nov
Avion
1 : 2
Meaux
Page 1 of 7

Senart-Moissy

(Away)
14 Nov
Panazol
2 : 1
Senart-Moissy
07 Feb
JA Drancy
2 : 0
Senart-Moissy
12 Nov
Les Sables
4 : 1
Senart-Moissy
02 Jun
Senart-Moissy
0 : 0
Villemomble
23 May
Calvi
1 : 1
Senart-Moissy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borgo 34 20 7 7 53:33 101
2 Aubervilliers 34 19 7 8 53:34 98
3 Dunkerque 34 17 12 5 50:31 97
4 Auxerre II 34 19 5 10 60:36 96
5 JA Drancy 34 15 10 9 35:32 88
6 Lens II 34 13 11 10 48:39 84
7 Calvi 34 13 11 10 58:51 84
8 Amiens AC 34 14 8 12 41:40 84
9 Ivry 34 14 7 13 50:40 83
10 Lille II 34 13 10 11 44:42 82
11 Compiegne 34 12 7 15 44:52 77
12 Poissy 34 7 17 10 43:47 72
13 Valenciennes II 34 11 5 18 44:52 72
14 PSG II 34 8 11 15 32:38 69
15 Alfortville 34 7 11 16 36:55 66
16 Senart-Moissy 34 6 13 15 22:45 65
17 Villemomble 34 6 12 16 24:47 64
18 Avion 34 5 10 19 34:57 59
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)