Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
3 - 2
05:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avispa Fukuoka play Gamba Osaka in the J1 League 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Avispa Fukuoka averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Gamba Osaka averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 3, Gamba Osaka won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.63 for Gamba Osaka. This points to a Avispa Fukuoka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Draws
29%
Gamba Osaka
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gamba Osaka has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Avispa Fukuoka.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in J1 League 2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 14%
Gamba Osaka Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 J1 League
Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 J1 League
Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 J1 League
Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsujioka Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gamba Osaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Hummet D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Welton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 31 / 100
Gamba Osaka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avispa Fukuoka scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Gamba Osaka let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Avispa Fukuoka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gamba Osaka lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Gamba Osaka
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121