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Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka Logo

Avispa Fukuoka

Wed, May 6, 2026
2 - 1
05:00 AM
Kyoto Logo

Kyoto

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rafael Elias
Assist: Henrique Trevisan
36'
Miki T.
45'
Oka T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Avispa Fukuoka and Kyoto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avispa Fukuoka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Avispa Fukuoka
15%
Draws
51%
Kyoto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avispa Fukuoka come out ahead of Kyoto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avispa Fukuoka's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 18%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Kyoto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
May 6, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
Jul 21, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto
2:2
Mar 9, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kyoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Elias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 41 / 100
Kyoto 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Kyoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyoto let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Avispa Fukuoka found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kyoto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Kyoto
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avispa Fukuoka

(Home)
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

Kyoto

(Away)
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Kyoto
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
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