Sport Picks
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus
Japan
J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Avispa Fukuoka host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League 2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Avispa Fukuoka have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Nagoya Grampus's 2 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Nagoya Grampus slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.88) back Avispa Fukuoka to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nagoya Grampus has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Avispa Fukuoka.
- Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Avispa Fukuoka.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in J1 League 2026 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avispa Fukuoka | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avispa Fukuoka Compare
Nagoya Grampus Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avispa Fukuoka scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Nagoya Grampus let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Avispa Fukuoka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Nagoya Grampus lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |