Sport Picks
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka 
Match Events
7'
7'
Maejima Y.
Assist: Shiihashi K.
36'
36'
Kamiya Yuta
46'
46'
Sub
Kawano K. In: Esaka A.
Out: Kawano K.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Avispa Fukuoka and Okayama finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avispa Fukuoka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okayama
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Okayama carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 16%
Okayama Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avispa Fukuoka | Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Apr 25, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avispa Fukuoka Compare
Top Goalscorer Maejima Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hashimoto Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Okayama Compare
Top Goalscorer Shirai K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avispa Fukuoka 31 / 100
Okayama 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avispa Fukuoka Okayama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Okayama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avispa Fukuoka scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Okayama let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Avispa Fukuoka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Avispa Fukuoka VS Okayama
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Avispa Fukuoka
(Home) 07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1 Mito
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1 Mito
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
26 Aug
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 0 Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 4
Okayama
(Away) 07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0 Chiba
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2 Okayama
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2 Kyoto
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2 Okayama
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
08 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
