Sport Picks
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka 
Match Events
11'
11'
Yamawaki K.
19'
19'
Suzuki A.
24'
24'
Kamijima T.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Avispa Fukuoka haven't matched Sanfrecce Hiroshima's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sanfrecce Hiroshima's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 11%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avispa Fukuoka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:2
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 J.League Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avispa Fukuoka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare
Top Goalscorer Higashi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avispa Fukuoka 10 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avispa Fukuoka found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Avispa Fukuoka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Avispa Fukuoka VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Avispa Fukuoka
(Home) 07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1 Mito
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1 Mito
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
26 Aug
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 0 Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Away) 07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Iwaki
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
15 Aug
Urawa Reds
1 : 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
