Sport Picks
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Reds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka 
Match Events
7'
7'
Matheus S.
Assist: Kaneko T.
10'
10'
Danilo Boza
24'
24'
Usui S.
Assist: Morooka S.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Avispa Fukuoka and Urawa Reds finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urawa Reds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa Reds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Avispa Fukuoka have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — Urawa Reds are scoring more at 1.75.
- Win probability leans Avispa Fukuoka's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 13%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avispa Fukuoka | Urawa Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Reds
2:3
Jul 27, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avispa Fukuoka Compare
Top Goalscorer Usui S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morooka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Urawa Reds Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hayashi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avispa Fukuoka 35 / 100
Urawa Reds 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avispa Fukuoka Urawa Reds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avispa Fukuoka found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Urawa Reds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Avispa Fukuoka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Avispa Fukuoka VS Urawa Reds
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Avispa Fukuoka
(Home) 10 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 1 Okayama
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 1 Okayama
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1 Mito
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 4
Urawa Reds
(Away) 10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0 Urawa Reds
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0 Urawa Reds
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1 Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
23 Aug
Machida Zelvia
3 : 1 Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
