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Stadium Background

Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
1 - 0
11:05 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Tone R.
52'
Romeu O.
61'
Sub
Romeu O. In: Akino H.
Out: Romeu O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Avispa Fukuoka
15%
Draws
36%
Verspah Oita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avispa Fukuoka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Verspah Oita haven't matched Avispa Fukuoka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Avispa Fukuoka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Avispa Fukuoka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avispa Fukuoka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 68%
Verspah Oita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Verspah Oita
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 11 5
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.32 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 95 / 100
Verspah Oita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Verspah Oita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avispa Fukuoka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verspah Oita's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

Avispa Fukuoka's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Verspah Oita's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Verspah Oita
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avispa Fukuoka

(Home)
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
Page 1 of 6

Verspah Oita

(Away)
26 Aug
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 0
Verspah Oita
19 Aug
Verspah Oita
3 : 0
Kochi United
28 Jul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Verspah Oita
20 Jul
Sagan Tosu
7 : 1
Verspah Oita
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -