Sport Picks
Avondale United vs St. Michaels Prediction & H2H Stats
Ireland
FAI Cup 2014 
Match Events
3'
3'
Warren D.
76'
76'
Long D.
82'
82'
Carr J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Avondale United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Avondale United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Avondale United's way, sitting at 50%.
- Avondale United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Avondale United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 68%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avondale United | St. Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 14 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2014 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs St. Michaels
2:0
Aug 24, 2014 FAI Cup
St. Michaels vs Avondale United
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avondale United Compare
Top Goalscorer Warren D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Long D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
St. Michaels Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avondale United 59 / 100
St. Michaels 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avondale United St. Michaels
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Avondale United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avondale United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.
St. Michaels let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.
St. Michaels lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Avondale United VS St. Michaels
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Avondale United
(Home) 02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0 Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0 Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1 Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4 Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2 Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 5
02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0 Bandon
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2 Pike Rovers
03 Jun
Avondale United
0 : 3 Cobh Wanderers
14 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 1 Finn Harps
30 Aug
Avondale United
2 : 0 St. Michaels
Page 1 of 2
St. Michaels
(Away) 16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3 Janesboro
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0 St. Michaels
18 May
St. Michaels
: Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5 Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1 Glengad United
Page 1 of 3
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0 St. Michaels
21 Apr
Leeds Cork
3 : 1 St. Michaels
30 Aug
Avondale United
2 : 0 St. Michaels
08 Jun
University College Cork
0 : 0 St. Michaels
16 May
Bluebell Utd
2 : 1 St. Michaels
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Leixlip United 1
St. Patricks CY 2
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
St Mochta's -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Avondale United 4
Carrigaline Utd 1
TBD -
Collinstown -
University College Cork 2
Swilly Rovers 1
St Francis 1
St. Michaels 2
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Belgrove 1
Drumcondra FC 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Cockhill -
Phoenix 3
Bluebell Utd 2
TBD -
Ballynanty Rovers -
Malahide United 2
Tolka 1
TBD -
Mayfield Utd -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
St. Patricks CY 0
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 6
St Mochta's 0
Limerick 1
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Collinstown 0
University College Cork 2
St. Michaels 4
Wexford 1
Bray 0
Belgrove 0
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 0
Athlone 0
Longford 2
Galway United 3
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 3
Drogheda 4
Cockhill 2
Phoenix 1
Ballynanty Rovers 2
Malahide United 3
Mayfield Utd 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 2
Bohemians 3
Avondale United 2
St. Michaels 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shamrock Rovers 3
Longford 0
Galway United 1
Dundalk 2
Drogheda 4
Ballynanty Rovers 0
Malahide United 0
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Finn Harps 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
Drogheda 2
Derry City 7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 6
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Derry City 3
Final
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 0
