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Avranches vs Angouleme CFC

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Martins L.
77' Event
Ben Khemis I.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Avranches and Angouleme CFC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Avranches
35%
Draws
34%
Angouleme CFC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Angouleme CFC come out ahead of Avranches on wins alone.
  • Model gives Avranches a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Avranches here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%
Angouleme CFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Angouleme CFC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Angouleme CFC
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Angouleme CFC
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Angouleme CFC vs Avranches
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Angouleme CFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Khemis I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 68 / 100
Angouleme CFC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Angouleme CFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Avranches stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Avranches scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Angouleme CFC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Angouleme CFC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
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Angouleme CFC

(Away)
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Dinan
16 May
Dinan
3 : 1
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 Angouleme CFC 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Saint-Malo 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
4 Avranches 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Dinan 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
6 Lorient II 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
7 Stade Briochin 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Tarbes 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Granville 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
10 Les Herbiers 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
11 Saumur Olympique 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
12 Le Poire Sur Vie 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
13 St. Colomban Locmine 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
14 Pontivy 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 Chauray 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)