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Avranches vs Angouleme CFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Martins L.
77' Event
Ben Khemis I.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Avranches and Angouleme CFC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Avranches
20%
Draws
45%
Angouleme CFC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Angouleme CFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avranches come out ahead of Angouleme CFC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Avranches a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Avranches here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%
Angouleme CFC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Angouleme CFC
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Angouleme CFC
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Angouleme CFC
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Angouleme CFC vs Avranches
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Angouleme CFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Khemis I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 50 / 100
Angouleme CFC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Angouleme CFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Angouleme CFC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Avranches stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Angouleme CFC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
30 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 3
Avranches
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
Page 1 of 7

Angouleme CFC

(Away)
30 Oct
Stade Briochin
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
17 Oct
Angouleme CFC
2 : 1
Le Poire Sur Vie
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)