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Avranches vs Bordeaux

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Dudouit E.
Own Goal
13' Event
Openda R.
46' Event
Sopromadze Z.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Avranches
11%
Draws
80%
Bordeaux
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Avranches haven't matched Bordeaux's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bordeaux taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Avranches Clean Sheet 13%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Bordeaux
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Bordeaux
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Avranches
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Bordeaux
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Bordeaux vs Avranches
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Sopromadze Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diagouraga T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 11 / 100
Bordeaux 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Bordeaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avranches scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bordeaux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Avranches stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Bordeaux
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 6

Bordeaux

(Away)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)