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Avranches vs La Roche Vendee

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Morel E.
90'
Violleau G.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Avranches and La Roche Vendee finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Roche Vendee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Avranches
11%
Draws
80%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives La Roche Vendee a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • La Roche Vendee have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Avranches Clean Sheet 14%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs La Roche Vendee
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 National 1 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Avranches
1:0
May 10, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs La Roche Vendee
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 National 1 - Group B
La Roche Vendee vs Avranches
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Morel E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 11 / 100
La Roche Vendee 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches La Roche Vendee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Avranches went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

La Roche Vendee let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS La Roche Vendee
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
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La Roche Vendee

(Away)
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
16 May
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 2
La Roche Vendee
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
02 May
Granville
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)