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Avranches vs La Vitreenne

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CFA - Group D 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2011/2012 game between Avranches and La Vitreenne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Avranches
35%
Draws
13%
La Vitreenne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avranches come out ahead of La Vitreenne on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Avranches taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Avranches Clean Sheet 20%
La Vitreenne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches La Vitreenne
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.55 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs La Vitreenne
1:0
Oct 22, 2011 National 2 - Group D
La Vitreenne vs Avranches
0:1
Apr 30, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs La Vitreenne
0:0
Dec 4, 2010 National 2 - Group D
La Vitreenne vs Avranches
1:1
Feb 6, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs La Vitreenne
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 85 / 100
La Vitreenne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches La Vitreenne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Vitreenne let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Avranches scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Avranches has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

La Vitreenne lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
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La Vitreenne

(Away)
02 Jun
La Vitreenne
0 : 1
Pacy Eure
26 May
Caen II
1 : 0
La Vitreenne
19 May
La Vitreenne
0 : 4
Carquefou
13 May
Le Havre II
0 : 0
La Vitreenne
04 May
La Vitreenne
1 : 3
Le Mans II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carquefou 34 21 8 5 52:23 105
2 Lucon 34 21 8 5 63:38 105
3 Avranches 34 19 6 9 53:33 97
4 Plabennec 34 15 11 8 55:41 90
5 Romorantin 34 16 7 11 58:33 89
6 Les Herbiers 34 14 9 11 40:40 85
7 Concarneau 34 13 7 14 49:44 80
8 Mantes 34 13 7 14 45:44 79
9 Saumur Olympique 34 11 10 13 38:43 77
10 Le Havre II 34 12 7 15 46:55 77
11 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 5 17 43:45 75
12 Le Mans II 34 10 11 13 41:47 75
13 Fontenay 34 10 9 15 30:43 73
14 Pacy Eure 34 10 9 15 34:49 73
15 Caen II 34 9 11 14 34:42 72
16 Pontivy 34 8 13 13 29:37 71
17 Lorient II 34 9 9 16 38:55 70
18 La Vitreenne 34 5 9 20 24:60 57
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)