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Avro vs Stockton

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dyson T.
28' Event
30' Event
Lowe B.

AI Match Summary

Avro in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Avro
30%
Draws
12%
Stockton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Avro have won more games recently than Stockton.
  • Win probability leans Avro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Avro Clean Sheet 16%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avro Stockton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Avro vs Stockton
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Dyson T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Stockton Compare

Top Goalscorer Bone C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nouble F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avro 84 / 100
Stockton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avro Stockton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockton let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Avro found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Avro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avro VS Stockton
3 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avro

(Home)
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
05 Sept
Avro
0 : 2
Witton Albion
31 Aug
United of Manchester
3 : 4
Avro
29 Aug
Avro
5 : 3
Stockton
26 Aug
Avro
4 : 4
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

Stockton

(Away)
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2
Guiseley
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2
Redcar Athletic
29 Aug
Avro
5 : 3
Stockton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Bamber Bridge 9 2 3 4 12:22 9
18 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
19 Leek Town 9 1 3 5 17:19 6
20 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
21 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
22 Stockton 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
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