Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Paau D.
62'
62'
Hubers Y.
83'
83'
Donk B.
AI Match Summary
AWC in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AWC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baronie
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- AWC have won more games recently than Baronie.
- Win probability leans Baronie's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
AWC Clean Sheet 10%
Baronie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AWC | Baronie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2024 Derde Divisie
AWC vs Baronie
3:0
Sep 24, 2023 Derde Divisie
Baronie vs AWC
1:0
Jun 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
Baronie vs AWC
0:1
Jun 8, 2023 Derde Divisie
AWC vs Baronie
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AWC Compare
Top Goalscorer Paau D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hubers Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Baronie Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AWC 26 / 100
Baronie 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AWC Baronie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baronie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Baronie conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: AWC scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.
AWC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AWC VS Baronie
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
AWC
(Home) 03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2 ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3 Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2 Smitshoek
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1 AWC
25 May
AWC
1 : 4 Meerssen
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2 ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3 Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2 Smitshoek
25 May
AWC
1 : 4 Meerssen
12 May
AWC
0 : 0 HV & CV Quick
Page 1 of 4
Baronie
(Away) 04 Aug
VV Kloetinge
2 : 2 Baronie
03 Jul
Baronie
0 : 5 NAC Breda
25 May
Baronie
2 : 1 HSV Hoek
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4 Baronie
12 May
Baronie
3 : 4 Gemert
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
VV Kloetinge
2 : 2 Baronie
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4 Baronie
04 May
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 4 Baronie
13 Apr
Barendrecht
4 : 2 Baronie
30 Mar
SteDoCo
4 : 0 Baronie
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 92:53 | 66 |
| 2 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 72:43 | 63 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 68:40 | 59 |
| 4 | USV Hercules | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:43 | 57 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 81:66 | 56 |
| 6 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62:47 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 62:45 | 52 |
| 8 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:53 | 52 |
| 9 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 61:42 | 48 |
| 10 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:62 | 48 |
| 11 | Eemdijk | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:62 | 48 |
| 12 | VVSB | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 62:67 | 47 |
| 13 | DEM | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 49:54 | 47 |
| 14 | Urk | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:73 | 45 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 56:64 | 44 |
| 16 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 45:87 | 33 |
| 17 | Kampong | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44:70 | 25 |
| 18 | ODIN '59 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 29:108 | 14 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barendrecht | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76:37 | 71 |
| 2 | SteDoCo | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 70:32 | 69 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67:35 | 67 |
| 4 | TEC | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 67:33 | 61 |
| 5 | Sportlust | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 56:36 | 61 |
| 6 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 64:62 | 58 |
| 7 | Meerssen | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 71:52 | 56 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 47:43 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 73:53 | 47 |
| 10 | UNA | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 50:46 | 47 |
| 11 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 62:64 | 47 |
| 12 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 45:48 | 47 |
| 13 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 55:70 | 36 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 47:70 | 36 |
| 15 | AWC | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 28:66 | 30 |
| 16 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 40:64 | 29 |
| 17 | Groene Ster | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 29:79 | 26 |
| 18 | Baronie | 34 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 34:91 | 20 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
