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AWC vs Blauw Geel Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Van Dijk H.

AI Match Summary

Blauw Geel in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blauw Geel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
AWC
20%
Draws
70%
Blauw Geel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blauw Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blauw Geel lately — more wins on the board than AWC.
  • Model gives Blauw Geel a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AWC Clean Sheet 16%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AWC Blauw Geel
Matches Played 31 41
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.61 2.02
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
AWC vs Blauw Geel
0:1
Aug 27, 2023 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs AWC
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AWC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Blauw Geel Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Dijk H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AWC 10 / 100
Blauw Geel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AWC Blauw Geel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Blauw Geel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 41 matches.

AWC scored in 39% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: AWC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Blauw Geel
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AWC

(Home)
03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2
ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3
Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2
Smitshoek
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1
AWC
25 May
AWC
1 : 4
Meerssen
Page 1 of 7

Blauw Geel

(Away)
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RKAV Volendam 34 21 3 10 92:53 66
2 IJsselmeervogels 34 19 6 9 72:43 63
3 Genemuiden 34 16 11 7 68:40 59
4 USV Hercules 34 17 6 11 63:43 57
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 18 2 14 81:66 56
6 Harkemase Boys 34 14 12 8 62:47 54
7 VV DOVO 34 14 10 10 62:45 52
8 HSC '21 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
9 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 14 6 14 61:42 48
10 Rijnvogels 34 14 6 14 60:62 48
11 Eemdijk 34 13 9 12 57:62 48
12 VVSB 34 14 5 15 62:67 47
13 DEM 34 14 5 15 49:54 47
14 Urk 34 12 9 13 56:73 45
15 Staphorst 34 13 5 16 56:64 44
16 VV Hoogeveen 34 10 3 21 45:87 33
17 Kampong 34 6 7 21 44:70 25
18 ODIN '59 34 3 5 26 29:108 14
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barendrecht 34 22 5 7 76:37 71
2 SteDoCo 34 20 9 5 70:32 69
3 Blauw Geel 34 20 7 7 67:35 67
4 TEC 34 17 10 7 67:33 61
5 Sportlust 34 18 7 9 56:36 61
6 Gemert 34 17 7 10 64:62 58
7 Meerssen 34 16 8 10 71:52 56
8 TOGB 34 16 2 16 47:43 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 13 8 13 73:53 47
10 UNA 34 13 8 13 50:46 47
11 HV & CV Quick 34 15 2 17 62:64 47
12 VV Kloetinge 34 13 8 13 45:48 47
13 OJC Rosmalen 34 8 12 14 55:70 36
14 FC OSS '20 34 10 6 18 47:70 36
15 AWC 34 8 7 19 28:66 30
16 GVV Unitas 34 8 5 21 40:64 29
17 Groene Ster 34 7 5 22 29:79 26
18 Baronie 34 6 2 26 34:91 20
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)