Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AWC vs Smitshoek

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
88' Event

AI Match Summary

Smitshoek in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
AWC
15%
Draws
64%
Smitshoek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smitshoek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Smitshoek lately — more wins on the board than AWC.
  • Model gives AWC a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Smitshoek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Smitshoek, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AWC Clean Sheet 10%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AWC Smitshoek
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Derde Divisie
AWC vs Smitshoek
0:2
May 29, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs AWC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AWC 83 / 100
Smitshoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AWC Smitshoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AWC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smitshoek has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Smitshoek lost 4 of their last 5 games.

AWC scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

AWC VS Smitshoek
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

AWC

(Home)
03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2
ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3
Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2
Smitshoek
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1
AWC
25 May
AWC
1 : 4
Meerssen
Page 1 of 6

Smitshoek

(Away)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HBC 3
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Watergraafsmeer 5
Staphorst 4
Rohda Raalte 4
VV Hoogeveen 3
AZSV 1
Huizen 2
Smitshoek 3
AWC 1
Westlandia 0
Achilles Veen 5
Dongen 2
GVV Unitas 3
RKSV Halsteren 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
Final
HBC 4
Watergraafsmeer 1
Rohda Raalte 0
Huizen 1
Smitshoek 2
Achilles Veen 0
GVV Unitas 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3