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Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Agricola Borcea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Axiopolis Cernavoda and Agricola Borcea finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agricola Borcea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
15%
Draws
54%
Agricola Borcea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agricola Borcea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Agricola Borcea come out ahead of Axiopolis Cernavoda on wins alone.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Agricola Borcea here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 10%
Agricola Borcea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Axiopolis Cernavoda Agricola Borcea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.66 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Agricola Borcea
2:3
Aug 5, 2026 Romanian Cup
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Agricola Borcea
1:3
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agricola Borcea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Agricola Borcea
1:4
May 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agricola Borcea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Axiopolis Cernavoda 34 / 100
Agricola Borcea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Axiopolis Cernavoda Agricola Borcea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agricola Borcea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Axiopolis Cernavoda scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Agricola Borcea has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Axiopolis Cernavoda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Axiopolis Cernavoda VS Agricola Borcea
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Home)
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
11 Sept
Otelul 2
0 : 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda
05 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 0
Calarasi
28 Aug
Inainte Modelu
1 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
05 Aug
Axiopolis Cernavoda
1 : 3
Agricola Borcea
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Agricola Borcea

(Away)
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
12 Sept
Agricola Borcea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
05 Sept
Unirea Branistea
0 : 1
Agricola Borcea
28 Aug
Otelul 2
0 : 3
Agricola Borcea
12 Aug
Agricola Borcea
1 : 4
Unirea Slobozia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agigea 5 4 1 0 11:5 13
2 Agricola Borcea 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
3 Inainte Modelu 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
4 Sporting Liesti 5 3 0 2 15:10 9
5 Progresul Fundulea 5 3 0 2 13:9 9
6 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
7 Axiopolis Cernavoda 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
8 Unirea Branistea 5 2 0 3 9:8 6
9 Calarasi 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
10 Gloria Baneasa 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
11 Portul Constanta 5 1 0 4 9:14 3
12 Otelul 2 5 0 0 5 3:13 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)