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Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Axiopolis Cernavoda and Recolta Gheorghe Doja finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Axiopolis Cernavoda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
15%
Draws
49%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recolta Gheorghe Doja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Recolta Gheorghe Doja come out ahead of Axiopolis Cernavoda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Axiopolis Cernavoda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 10%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Axiopolis Cernavoda Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
1:7
Dec 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
0:3
Nov 23, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Axiopolis Cernavoda 30 / 100
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Axiopolis Cernavoda Recolta Gheorghe Doja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recolta Gheorghe Doja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Axiopolis Cernavoda scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Recolta Gheorghe Doja conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Axiopolis Cernavoda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Axiopolis Cernavoda VS Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Home)
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Unirea Branistea
3 : 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
11 Sept
Otelul 2
0 : 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda
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Recolta Gheorghe Doja

(Away)
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Agricola Borcea
0 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
19 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Otelul 2
11 Sept
Calarasi
0 : 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)