Sport Picks
Ayacucho vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Peru
Liga 2 2023 Estadio Ciudad de Cumana 
AI Match Summary
Ayacucho play Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) in the Liga 2 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ayacucho averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Ayacucho won 0, Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Sep 13, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ayacucho and 1.38 for Alfonso Ugarte (Puno). This points to a Ayacucho double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ayacucho picked up more points recently compared to Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayacucho | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ayacucho Compare
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ayacucho scored in 61% of their last 33 games.
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ayacucho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 72:25 | 53 |
| 3 | Alianza Huanuco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 43:25 | 51 |
| 4 | Llacuabamba | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 5 | Santos FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 42 |
| 6 | Comerciantes FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 39 |
| 7 | U. San Martin | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:30 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Coopsol | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 36 |
| 9 | Juan Aurich | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:27 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Huaral | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:34 | 24 |
| 11 | Ayacucho | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 37:50 | 23 |
| 12 | Pirata | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:59 | 21 |
| 13 | Carlos Stein | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 26:76 | 8 |
| 14 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:44 | 27 |