Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayacucho vs Cobresol

Peru Peru

Primera Division 2012 Estadio Ciudad de Cumana, Ayacucho
Ayacucho Logo

Ayacucho

2 - 0
FT
Cobresol Logo

Cobresol

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Mendoza F.
90' Event
Gonzales J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2012 game between Ayacucho and Cobresol finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayacucho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ayacucho
15%
Draws
28%
Cobresol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayacucho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ayacucho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 68%
Cobresol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayacucho Cobresol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.93 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2012 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Cobresol
2:0
Oct 8, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Ayacucho
0:0
Aug 8, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Ayacucho
1:2
May 20, 2012 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Cobresol
2:1
Oct 23, 2011 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Ayacucho
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzales J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cobresol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayacucho 95 / 100
Cobresol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayacucho Cobresol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayacucho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobresol has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Cobresol has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ayacucho scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayacucho VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayacucho

(Home)
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1
Ayacucho
09 Aug
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
02 Aug
Tacna Heroica
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Jul
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Santos FC
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2
Ayacucho
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Cobresol

(Away)
25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Cobresol
18 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Nov
Cobresol
4 : 0
Sport Huancayo
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0
Cobresol
01 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 44 25 11 8 93:44 86
2 Sport Huancayo 44 18 9 17 52:51 63
3 Ayacucho 44 17 11 16 43:45 62
4 U. San Martin 44 16 12 16 49:52 61
5 Jose Galvez 44 17 10 17 48:54 61
6 Cienciano 44 16 9 19 58:59 57
7 Universitario de Deportes 44 15 13 16 52:58 57
8 Cobresol 44 6 8 30 33:82 22
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cusco 44 24 10 10 63:35 82
2 Cesar Vallejo 44 21 11 12 57:44 74
3 Juan Aurich 44 20 9 15 56:54 71
4 FBC Melgar 44 18 12 14 56:44 66
5 Union Comercio 44 16 9 19 51:61 57
6 Leon de Huanuco 44 13 15 16 54:47 54
7 A. Lima 44 14 15 15 50:51 53
8 Sport Boys 44 6 16 22 36:70 32
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)