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Ayacucho vs Union Minas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Barboza S.
22'
Lopez S.
46'
Sub
Zamalloa F. In: Chinga R.
Out: Zamalloa F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Ayacucho and Union Minas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayacucho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ayacucho
15%
Draws
53%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Minas come out ahead of Ayacucho on wins alone.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 10%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayacucho Union Minas
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Union Minas
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Ayacucho
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Union Minas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Barboza S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Union Minas Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayacucho 34 / 100
Union Minas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayacucho Union Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayacucho found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Union Minas conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ayacucho stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayacucho VS Union Minas
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayacucho

(Home)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

Union Minas

(Away)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams