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Ayamonte vs CD Utrera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Delgado J.
60' Event
Delgado J.
82' Event
Ceballos J.

AI Match Summary

CD Utrera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Utrera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ayamonte
20%
Draws
48%
CD Utrera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Utrera lately — more wins on the board than Ayamonte.
  • Win probability leans Ayamonte's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 20%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayamonte CD Utrera
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 20
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs CD Utrera
1:2
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Ayamonte
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceballos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CD Utrera Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayamonte 42 / 100
CD Utrera 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayamonte CD Utrera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayamonte found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Utrera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 40 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ayamonte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Utrera
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayamonte

(Home)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
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CD Utrera

(Away)
20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2
CD Utrera
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)