Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2005

Bolat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ayat Rudnyi play Bolat in the First Division 2005. Ayat Rudnyi are favorites here. Recently, Ayat Rudnyi averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Bolat averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Ayat Rudnyi won 2, Bolat won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 11, 2005 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Ayat Rudnyi and 1.50 for Bolat. This points to a Ayat Rudnyi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Ayat Rudnyi

15%

Draws

24%

Bolat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayat Rudnyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Ayat Rudnyi picked up more points recently compared to Bolat.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Ayat Rudnyi Clean Sheet 16%

Bolat Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ayat Rudnyi	Bolat
Matches Played	24	24
Wins	11	4
Draws	0	7
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.17	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2005 First League

Ayat Rudnyi vs Bolat

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Jun 1, 2005 First League

Bolat vs Ayat Rudnyi

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayat Rudnyi 58 / 100

Bolat 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ayat Rudnyi Bolat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayat Rudnyi Win (1)

Secondary Pick Ayat Rudnyi & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ayat Rudnyi attacking → ← attacking Bolat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayat Rudnyi scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Bolat let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ayat Rudnyi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bolat lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 19

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaisar Kyzylorda	22	17	4	1	51:10	55
2	Cesna Almaty	22	17	2	3	57:16	53
3	Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty	22	14	6	2	70:23	48
4	Gornyak Khromtay	22	13	3	6	30:26	42
5	Kaspij Aktau	22	10	6	6	31:17	36
6	Ordabasy 2	22	9	4	9	40:48	31
7	Zhambyl Taraz	22	7	3	12	24:31	24
8	Munaily Atyrau	22	7	3	12	20:38	24
9	AI-Universitet	22	5	6	11	19:41	21
10	Zhastar Uralsk	22	5	3	14	21:46	18
11	Aktobe 2	22	3	3	16	26:65	12
12	Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2	22	2	3	17	14:42	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Energetik Pavlodar	24	21	3	0	109:7	66
2	Spartak Semey	24	18	5	1	76:17	59
3	Ertis Pavlodar 2	24	15	3	6	60:28	48
4	Shakhter Yunost	24	13	2	9	35:30	41
5	Ayat Rudnyi	24	11	0	13	28:40	33
6	Asbest Zitikara	24	10	3	11	30:34	33
7	Eurasia Astana	24	9	4	11	25:34	31
8	Vostok Oskemen 2	24	8	5	11	39:43	29
9	Aksu	24	7	3	14	22:43	24
10	Batyr Ekibastuz	24	6	4	14	25:52	22
11	Spartak Semey 2	24	6	3	15	23:59	21
12	Kyzylzhar Academy	24	5	4	15	20:73	19
13	Bolat	24	4	7	13	12:44	19