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Ayeyawady vs Dagon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Ayeyawady Logo

Ayeyawady

0 - 5
FT
Dagon Logo

Dagon

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zaw T.
14' Event
Gilles P.
32' Event
Zaw T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dagon in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dagon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
53%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon have won more games recently than Ayeyawady.
  • Dagon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Dagon have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 16%
Dagon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Dagon
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.33 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Dagon
0:5
Jan 29, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Dagon
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Ayeyawady
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Ayeyawady
2:1
Aug 18, 2024 National League
Ayeyawady vs Dagon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayeyawady Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gilles P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 23 / 100
Dagon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayeyawady scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Dagon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ayeyawady has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Dagon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 7

Dagon

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)