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Ayeyawady vs Ispe

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Win Khaing Ye
26' Event
Chit L. M.
29' Event
Thu Kaung Myat

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Ayeyawady and Ispe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayeyawady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
42%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayeyawady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ispe haven't matched Ayeyawady's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ayeyawady a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ispe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 20%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Ispe
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Ispe
2:1
Jan 13, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Ispe
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Ayeyawady
3:0
Jan 13, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Ispe
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Ayeyawady
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayeyawady Compare

Top Goalscorer Chit L. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thu Kaung Myat
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Win Khaing Ye
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 85 / 100
Ispe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayeyawady Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Ayeyawady's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ispe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Ispe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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Ispe

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)